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Red35
207315.5
68844.1
196714.1
Blue42
318910.2
325623.3
741311.9
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions404801001502003542

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2073
#23
15.50.5
16.115.6
Auto4.9
Teleop9.4
End1.2
blue by 7.8
23.30.6
18.317.7
Auto9.2
Teleop11.8
End2.3
Second
1967
#31
14.10.5
11.911.4
Auto4.4
Teleop8.6
End1.2
red by 2.2
7413
#24
11.90.6
13.512.9
Auto1.7
Teleop8.8
End1.4
Third
6884
#41
4.10.5
9.28.7
Auto1.6
Teleop0.4
End2.1
blue by 6.1
3189
#27
10.20.6
10.610.0
Auto4.7
Teleop5.3
End0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
14%Melody oddsMissed39%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed12%Ensemble oddsMissed