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Qual 452024 Silicon Valley Regional
Red49
281310.7
66812.3
98726.5
Blue38
135116.3
385911.2
85466.3
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5347203040506070804938

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
987
#4
26.50.9
24.5→23.6
Auto10.8
Teleop14.7
End1.0
red by 10.2
1351
#33
16.30.8
19.9→19.1
Auto5.0
Teleop10.2
End1.1
Second
668
#19
12.30.9
12.4→11.4
Auto3.5
Teleop7.2
End1.6
red by 1.1
3859
#28
11.20.8
15.1→14.3
Auto6.6
Teleop3.0
End1.5
Third
2813
#11
10.70.9
10.4→9.5
Auto1.8
Teleop8.5
End0.4
red by 4.4
8546
#40
6.30.8
8.3→7.5
Auto1.9
Teleop3.6
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
51%Melody oddsEarned37%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed5%Ensemble oddsMissed