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Red92
95048.7
67019.8
167847.4
Blue48
325623.3
912515.2
947016.4
91%Model gave it9%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6847204060801009248

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
47.43.1
34.837.9
Auto18.8
Teleop22.2
End6.4
red by 24.1
23.30.1
17.717.8
Auto9.2
Teleop11.8
End2.3
Second
670
#15
19.83.1
16.619.7
Auto3.9
Teleop15.3
End0.6
red by 3.4
9470
#25
16.40.1
10.610.7
Auto10.3
Teleop6.1
End0.0
Third
9504
#32
8.73.1
7.810.9
Auto3.8
Teleop4.1
End0.8
blue by 6.5
9125
#20
15.20.1
16.716.8
Auto5.0
Teleop8.5
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
45%Melody oddsEarned29%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
19%Ensemble oddsMissed11%Ensemble oddsMissed