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Red72
60431.3
95048.7
330912.0
Blue49
207315.5
385911.2
318910.2
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions624120801007249

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
604
#5
31.31.5
31.933.5
Auto9.7
Teleop19.7
End1.9
red by 15.7
2073
#23
15.50.2
14.614.4
Auto4.9
Teleop9.4
End1.2
Second
3309
#17
12.01.4
10.511.9
Auto2.7
Teleop8.2
End1.2
red by 0.8
3859
#28
11.20.2
14.314.1
Auto6.6
Teleop3.0
End1.5
Third
9504
#32
8.71.4
10.912.3
Auto3.8
Teleop4.1
End0.8
blue by 1.5
3189
#27
10.20.2
10.910.7
Auto4.7
Teleop5.3
End0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
53%Melody oddsEarned21%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
7%Ensemble oddsMissed5%Ensemble oddsMissed