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Red70
58133.5
98726.5
91148.0
Blue37
69186.0
502613.3
67019.8
91%Model gave it9%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions69432060801001207037

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
581
#1
33.51.1
30.031.1
Auto11.5
Teleop17.1
End5.0
red by 13.7
670
#15
19.80.5
19.719.2
Auto3.9
Teleop15.3
End0.6
Second
987
#4
26.51.1
23.624.7
Auto10.8
Teleop14.7
End1.0
red by 13.2
5026
#34
13.30.5
14.614.1
Auto5.4
Teleop7.4
End0.5
Third
9114
#22
8.01.1
6.07.1
Auto4.5
Teleop1.5
End2.1
red by 2.0
6918
#42
6.00.6
7.77.2
Auto1.6
Teleop3.3
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
80%Melody oddsEarned20%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
15%Ensemble oddsEarned5%Ensemble oddsMissed