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Red56
228818.0
247318.3
499011.6
Blue49
196714.1
804816.8
912515.2
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions414902060801005649

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
18.31.9
16.218.0
Auto3.6
Teleop12.8
End2.0
red by 1.5
8048
#30
16.80.0
14.915.0
Auto6.6
Teleop8.2
End2.1
Second
18.01.9
13.715.5
Auto6.1
Teleop11.4
End0.5
red by 2.8
9125
#20
15.20.0
16.816.9
Auto5.0
Teleop8.5
End1.7
Third
4990
#29
11.61.8
8.310.2
Auto3.2
Teleop5.4
End3.1
blue by 2.5
1967
#31
14.10.0
11.811.9
Auto4.4
Teleop8.6
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
15%Melody oddsEarned15%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsMissed10%Ensemble oddsMissed