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Red88
25311.9
947016.4
167847.4
Blue5
50273.7
68844.1
1926.8
100%Model gave it0%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions72170406080100120140885

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
47.42.1
37.940.0
Auto18.8
Teleop22.2
End6.4
red by 40.6
192
#36
6.81.8
10.89.0
Auto1.6
Teleop3.6
End1.6
Second
9470
#25
16.42.0
10.712.7
Auto10.3
Teleop6.1
End0.0
red by 12.3
6884
#41
4.11.8
5.13.3
Auto1.6
Teleop0.4
End2.1
Third
253
#21
11.92.0
10.112.1
Auto3.2
Teleop4.8
End3.9
red by 8.1
5027
#39
3.71.8
6.54.7
Auto-0.5
Teleop4.5
End-0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
56%Melody oddsEarned10%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
22%Ensemble oddsEarned10%Ensemble oddsMissed