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Red58
84123.5
10019.5
63487.6
Blue31
23677.4
325623.3
840413.8
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions534730406070805831

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
841
#3
23.51.1
21.622.7
Auto6.9
Teleop15.0
End1.6
red by 0.1
23.31.3
17.816.5
Auto9.2
Teleop11.8
End2.3
Second
100
#8
19.51.1
15.616.8
Auto4.6
Teleop13.0
End1.9
red by 5.8
8404
#14
13.81.4
15.013.6
Auto6.1
Teleop7.3
End0.4
Third
6348
#38
7.61.1
9.911.0
Auto2.4
Teleop4.5
End0.8
red by 0.2
2367
#26
7.41.3
10.69.3
Auto3.2
Teleop2.2
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
35%Melody oddsEarned17%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsMissed11%Ensemble oddsMissed