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Red33
741311.9
20359.8
30087.4
Blue35
85466.3
281310.7
186812.0
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions432902060801003335

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7413
#24
11.91.5
12.911.4
Auto1.7
Teleop8.8
End1.4
blue by 0.1
1868
#10
12.00.3
11.111.4
Auto3.9
Teleop7.9
End0.2
Second
2035
#18
9.81.5
15.313.9
Auto2.3
Teleop5.7
End1.8
blue by 0.9
2813
#11
10.70.3
9.59.8
Auto1.8
Teleop8.5
End0.4
Third
3008
#37
7.41.5
9.17.6
Auto2.9
Teleop3.2
End1.3
red by 1.0
8546
#40
6.30.3
7.57.8
Auto1.9
Teleop3.6
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
43%Melody oddsMissed21%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
19%Ensemble oddsMissed7%Ensemble oddsMissed