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Red26
330912.0
63487.6
385911.2
Blue34
58133.5
50273.7
95048.7
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions39552060801002634

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3309
#17
12.01.5
11.910.4
Auto2.7
Teleop8.2
End1.2
blue by 21.5
581
#1
33.51.4
31.129.7
Auto11.5
Teleop17.1
End5.0
Second
3859
#28
11.21.5
14.112.6
Auto6.6
Teleop3.0
End1.5
red by 2.5
9504
#32
8.71.4
12.310.9
Auto3.8
Teleop4.1
End0.8
Third
6348
#38
7.61.5
11.09.4
Auto2.4
Teleop4.5
End0.8
red by 3.9
5027
#39
3.71.4
4.73.3
Auto-0.5
Teleop4.5
End-0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
20%Melody oddsMissed44%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
6%Ensemble oddsMissed17%Ensemble oddsMissed