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Red62
247318.3
91148.0
196714.1
Blue62
98726.5
23677.4
51048.8
27%Model gave it73%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4050102030607080906262

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
18.3
Auto3.6
Teleop12.8
End2.0
blue by 8.2
987
#4
26.5
Auto10.8
Teleop14.7
End1.0
Second
1967
#31
14.1
Auto4.4
Teleop8.6
End1.2
red by 5.3
5104
#35
8.8
Auto2.7
Teleop4.6
End1.5
Third
9114
#22
8.0
Auto4.5
Teleop1.5
End2.1
red by 0.6
2367
#26
7.4
Auto3.2
Teleop2.2
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
15%Melody oddsEarned51%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed10%Ensemble oddsMissed