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Red64
687B10.6
265927.6
114831.2
Blue28
1148B11.8
441525.9
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions855601001502002503006428

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
31.21.0
28.427.4
Auto8.7
Teleop20.2
End2.4
red by 5.4
4415
#21
25.92.2
29.927.7
Auto12.6
Teleop13.2
End0.1
Second
27.61.0
32.131.1
Auto9.8
Teleop13.2
End4.6
red by 15.8
11.83.7
11.67.9
Auto3.1
Teleop7.8
End0.9
Third
687B
#26
10.61.6
13.111.5
Auto6.9
Teleop4.3
End-0.5
red by 3.1
7.53.7
12.68.9
Auto4.4
Teleop2.4
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
70%Melody oddsMissed31%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
47%Ensemble oddsMissed51%Ensemble oddsMissed