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Red67
4414B17.5
696B13.4
940832.9
Blue77
601722.7
715728.0
242919.5
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions657402003004005006007006777

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9408
#12
32.90.5
31.131.6
Auto7.5
Teleop23.3
End2.2
red by 4.9
28.00.8
20.020.8
Auto10.4
Teleop16.8
End0.8
Second
17.50.8
19.720.5
Auto4.8
Teleop12.0
End0.7
blue by 5.2
6017
#40
22.70.8
22.823.6
Auto6.7
Teleop13.8
End2.1
Third
696B
#17
13.40.8
9.29.9
Auto5.1
Teleop8.9
End-0.6
blue by 6.1
2429
#24
19.50.8
22.523.3
Auto8.9
Teleop9.6
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
34%Melody oddsMissed49%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
27%Ensemble oddsMissed29%Ensemble oddsMissed