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Red99
519938.3
210225.1
696B13.4
Blue42
119722.8
1148B11.8
3512B15.6
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions72510204060801001201409942

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
38.31.6
36.738.3
Auto9.8
Teleop23.7
End4.7
red by 15.5
1197
#27
22.80.4
24.023.6
Auto11.3
Teleop8.8
End2.7
Second
2102
#34
25.11.6
19.621.2
Auto8.6
Teleop15.5
End1.0
red by 9.5
15.60.7
14.013.3
Auto5.9
Teleop4.7
End5.0
Third
696B
#17
13.42.7
6.79.4
Auto5.1
Teleop8.9
End-0.6
red by 1.6
11.80.7
10.69.9
Auto3.1
Teleop7.8
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
9%Melody oddsEarned19%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
19%Ensemble oddsMissed30%Ensemble oddsMissed