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Red52
601722.7
69618.6
432225.7
Blue31
687B10.6
242919.5
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions714701001505231

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25.70.6
24.924.3
Auto8.0
Teleop14.9
End2.8
red by 6.2
2429
#24
19.51.0
24.423.5
Auto8.9
Teleop9.6
End1.0
Second
6017
#40
22.70.6
24.123.5
Auto6.7
Teleop13.8
End2.1
red by 12.1
687B
#26
10.61.6
11.49.8
Auto6.9
Teleop4.3
End-0.5
Third
696
#19
18.60.6
12.511.9
Auto3.6
Teleop14.8
End0.1
red by 11.1
7.51.6
9.57.9
Auto4.4
Teleop2.4
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
31%Melody oddsMissed22%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
13%Ensemble oddsEarned15%Ensemble oddsMissed