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Red66
37594.0
97316.3
519938.3
Blue82
441525.9
601722.7
210225.1
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6281020401001201401606682

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
38.30.2
38.338.2
Auto9.8
Teleop23.7
End4.7
red by 12.4
4415
#21
25.90.7
26.627.3
Auto12.6
Teleop13.2
End0.1
Second
973
#32
16.30.2
16.716.5
Auto1.0
Teleop14.6
End0.7
blue by 8.8
2102
#34
25.10.7
21.221.9
Auto8.6
Teleop15.5
End1.0
Third
3759
#47
4.00.2
3.43.3
Auto1.7
Teleop1.5
End0.8
blue by 18.7
6017
#40
22.70.7
23.524.2
Auto6.7
Teleop13.8
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
11%Melody oddsMissed44%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
38%Ensemble oddsEarned26%Ensemble oddsMissed