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Red21
37594.0
113810.1
315817.7
Blue38
687B10.6
715728.0
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions51542030406070802138

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3158
#36
17.72.2
21.319.2
Auto7.2
Teleop9.1
End1.4
blue by 10.3
28.00.9
21.620.6
Auto10.4
Teleop16.8
End0.8
Second
1138
#45
10.12.2
16.314.1
Auto2.3
Teleop7.3
End0.4
blue by 0.5
687B
#26
10.65.2
10.615.8
Auto6.9
Teleop4.3
End-0.5
Third
3759
#47
4.02.2
10.98.8
Auto1.7
Teleop1.5
End0.8
blue by 2.4
6.50.1
6.56.6
Auto4.1
Teleop2.2
End0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
20%Melody oddsMissed41%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsMissed19%Ensemble oddsMissed