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Red13
97316.3
9408B17.1
4415B11.1
Blue51
420119.7
432225.7
265927.6
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions61940501501351

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
17.14.8
17.112.3
Auto4.3
Teleop12.9
End-0.1
blue by 10.5
27.62.3
35.132.7
Auto9.8
Teleop13.2
End4.6
Second
973
#32
16.33.2
26.122.9
Auto1.0
Teleop14.6
End0.7
blue by 9.4
25.72.3
21.919.5
Auto8.0
Teleop14.9
End2.8
Third
11.11.2
11.19.9
Auto2.5
Teleop6.8
End1.8
blue by 8.6
4201
#15
19.72.3
24.321.9
Auto5.8
Teleop12.8
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
47%Melody oddsMissed88%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
37%Ensemble oddsMissed61%Ensemble oddsMissed