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Red36
664720.6
940832.9
312821.0
Blue72
59912.2
519938.3
69618.6
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9073204060801001201403672

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9408
#12
32.92.9
35.232.3
Auto7.5
Teleop23.3
End2.2
blue by 5.4
38.30.4
38.938.4
Auto9.8
Teleop23.7
End4.7
Second
3128
#18
21.02.9
20.918.0
Auto8.3
Teleop11.1
End1.6
red by 2.5
696
#19
18.60.4
13.212.8
Auto3.6
Teleop14.8
End0.1
Third
6647
#39
20.62.9
23.120.2
Auto6.5
Teleop13.2
End0.9
red by 8.4
599
#44
12.20.4
16.215.8
Auto3.9
Teleop7.9
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
71%Melody oddsMissed22%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
25%Ensemble oddsMissed18%Ensemble oddsMissed