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Red65
4414B17.5
908423.0
432225.7
Blue71
35933.9
519938.3
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions68910501001506571

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25.70.0
24.524.5
Auto8.0
Teleop14.9
End2.8
blue by 12.6
38.30.6
38.237.6
Auto9.8
Teleop23.7
End4.7
Second
9084
#10
23.00.0
23.423.5
Auto10.4
Teleop8.6
End3.9
blue by 11.0
359
#3
33.90.6
33.933.3
Auto12.5
Teleop17.0
End4.4
Third
17.50.1
16.516.6
Auto4.8
Teleop12.0
End0.7
red by 11.0
6.50.9
7.86.9
Auto4.1
Teleop2.2
End0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
15%Melody oddsMissed24%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
58%Ensemble oddsMissed54%Ensemble oddsEarned