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Red34
601722.7
386313.0
392513.3
Blue71
315817.7
59725.4
162217.6
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions58630501001503471

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6017
#40
22.71.3
24.222.9
Auto6.7
Teleop13.8
End2.1
blue by 2.7
597
#20
25.41.0
23.524.5
Auto8.5
Teleop15.8
End1.1
Second
3925
#43
13.31.3
16.214.9
Auto5.5
Teleop5.9
End1.9
blue by 4.4
3158
#36
17.71.0
16.517.6
Auto7.2
Teleop9.1
End1.4
Third
3863
#29
13.01.3
12.711.5
Auto3.4
Teleop7.3
End2.3
blue by 4.5
1622
#28
17.61.0
15.816.8
Auto7.3
Teleop8.2
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
5%Melody oddsMissed14%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
25%Ensemble oddsMissed8%Ensemble oddsMissed