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Red68
4414B17.5
97316.3
386313.0
Blue30
664720.6
9408B17.1
392513.3
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4562020801001206830

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
17.52.2
16.618.8
Auto4.8
Teleop12.0
End0.7
blue by 3.1
6647
#39
20.61.6
22.320.7
Auto6.5
Teleop13.2
End0.9
Second
973
#32
16.31.5
14.716.3
Auto1.0
Teleop14.6
End0.7
blue by 0.8
17.12.3
16.614.3
Auto4.3
Teleop12.9
End-0.1
Third
3863
#29
13.01.5
11.513.0
Auto3.4
Teleop7.3
End2.3
blue by 0.3
3925
#43
13.31.6
14.913.3
Auto5.5
Teleop5.9
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
5%Melody oddsEarned31%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
16%Ensemble oddsMissed10%Ensemble oddsMissed