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Red75
741518.3
210225.1
419.9
Blue47
312821.0
601722.7
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions655502040801001201407547

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2102
#34
25.10.8
22.223.0
Auto8.6
Teleop15.5
End1.0
red by 2.4
6017
#40
22.70.3
22.922.6
Auto6.7
Teleop13.8
End2.1
Second
4
#23
19.90.8
17.818.6
Auto7.7
Teleop10.9
End1.4
blue by 1.1
3128
#18
21.00.3
21.421.1
Auto8.3
Teleop11.1
End1.6
Third
7415
#25
18.30.8
17.518.3
Auto7.7
Teleop10.5
End0.2
red by 11.8
6.50.4
6.96.5
Auto4.1
Teleop2.2
End0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
21%Melody oddsMissed14%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
15%Ensemble oddsMissed14%Ensemble oddsMissed