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Red31
59912.2
80062.9
4415B11.1
Blue54
908423.0
162217.6
687B10.6
8%Model gave it92%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2261040801001203154

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
599
#44
12.20.4
11.812.2
Auto3.9
Teleop7.9
End0.5
blue by 10.7
9084
#10
23.00.2
23.523.7
Auto10.4
Teleop8.6
End3.9
Second
11.10.7
10.010.7
Auto2.5
Teleop6.8
End1.8
blue by 6.5
1622
#28
17.60.2
16.817.0
Auto7.3
Teleop8.2
End2.1
Third
8006
#48
2.90.4
2.52.9
Auto0.9
Teleop2.3
End-0.3
blue by 7.7
687B
#26
10.60.3
10.310.6
Auto6.9
Teleop4.3
End-0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
3%Melody oddsMissed4%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsMissed33%Ensemble oddsMissed