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Red41
351212.5
265927.6
145217.2
Blue77
710213.3
441439.0
315817.7
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions65800501001504177

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27.61.3
28.527.2
Auto9.8
Teleop13.2
End4.6
blue by 11.4
39.00.1
39.639.8
Auto14.0
Teleop20.0
End5.0
Second
1452
#41
17.21.3
18.517.2
Auto8.7
Teleop5.9
End2.6
blue by 0.5
3158
#36
17.70.1
17.617.7
Auto7.2
Teleop9.1
End1.4
Third
3512
#38
12.51.3
13.812.5
Auto5.5
Teleop3.2
End3.8
blue by 0.8
7102
#30
13.30.1
13.213.3
Auto5.5
Teleop6.0
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
30%Melody oddsMissed23%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
31%Ensemble oddsEarned24%Ensemble oddsEarned