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Red114
407919.4
940832.9
68727.7
Blue79
210225.1
162217.6
9408B17.1
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9256015020011479

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9408
#12
32.90.4
32.633.0
Auto7.5
Teleop23.3
End2.2
red by 7.8
2102
#34
25.10.5
23.023.6
Auto8.6
Teleop15.5
End1.0
Second
687
#46
27.70.4
27.427.7
Auto10.0
Teleop17.6
End0.1
red by 10.1
1622
#28
17.60.5
17.017.6
Auto7.3
Teleop8.2
End2.1
Third
19.40.4
19.119.4
Auto3.7
Teleop15.3
End0.3
red by 2.3
17.10.7
14.315.0
Auto4.3
Teleop12.9
End-0.1