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Red118
519938.3
419.9
715728.0
Blue97
704221.8
119722.8
441918.7
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9464020408012014016011897

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
38.30.8
36.837.6
Auto9.8
Teleop23.7
End4.7
red by 15.5
1197
#27
22.80.3
22.322.5
Auto11.3
Teleop8.8
End2.7
Second
28.00.8
26.527.3
Auto10.4
Teleop16.8
End0.8
red by 6.2
7042
#11
21.80.3
21.321.6
Auto7.7
Teleop11.0
End3.1
Third
4
#23
19.90.8
18.619.4
Auto7.7
Teleop10.9
End1.4
red by 1.3
4419
#14
18.70.3
18.218.5
Auto4.1
Teleop13.4
End1.2