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Red25
58920.0
397015.0
38818.6
Blue18
732311.6
113816.6
732710.6
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions413610203050602518

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
589
#24
20.01.3
9.98.6
Auto6.3
Teleop10.9
End2.7
red by 3.4
1138
#30
16.61.7
13.912.3
Auto5.7
Teleop10.1
End0.8
Second
3970
#12
15.01.3
15.314.0
Auto5.7
Teleop8.2
End1.1
red by 3.4
7323
#22
11.61.7
10.48.7
Auto4.3
Teleop5.7
End1.6
Third
3881
#32
8.61.3
11.410.1
Auto2.4
Teleop6.0
End0.2
blue by 1.9
7327
#38
10.61.7
8.87.1
Auto5.1
Teleop4.6
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
22%Melody oddsMissed21%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
11%Ensemble oddsMissed10%Ensemble oddsMissed