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Red21
68728.1
963513.8
321614.1
Blue67
908429.6
386312.1
581724.3
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4141203050602167

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
687
#9
28.11.8
15.213.3
Auto11.0
Teleop15.9
End1.2
blue by 1.5
29.62.7
17.420.1
Auto11.8
Teleop14.2
End3.6
Second
3216
#45
14.11.8
12.811.0
Auto4.9
Teleop8.2
End1.0
blue by 10.2
24.32.7
13.015.7
Auto7.2
Teleop14.2
End2.9
Third
9635
#20
13.81.5
9.68.1
Auto4.9
Teleop8.2
End0.8
red by 1.7
3863
#25
12.12.1
5.77.8
Auto5.5
Teleop5.2
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
15%Melody oddsMissed18%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed10%Ensemble oddsMissed