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Red46
11525.5
513614.8
401413.0
Blue2
528511.1
50126.7
23754.9
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions422901020506070462

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
115
#3
25.51.1
15.917.0
Auto8.5
Teleop14.5
End2.6
red by 14.5
5285
#43
11.12.8
9.97.1
Auto2.8
Teleop7.2
End1.0
Second
5136
#13
14.81.1
10.311.4
Auto5.1
Teleop6.7
End3.1
red by 8.1
5012
#29
6.72.8
8.35.4
Auto2.0
Teleop3.5
End1.3
Third
4014
#19
13.01.1
10.111.2
Auto3.9
Teleop7.1
End2.0
red by 8.1
2375
#31
4.92.8
9.36.4
Auto3.4
Teleop0.1
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
22%Melody oddsMissed18%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
11%Ensemble oddsMissed10%Ensemble oddsMissed