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Red84
448139.7
69621.7
581724.3
Blue15
48177.4
38818.6
94218.3
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions752702040601001208415

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
39.71.6
29.431.0
Auto16.5
Teleop20.8
End2.5
red by 31.1
3881
#32
8.62.8
10.17.3
Auto2.4
Teleop6.0
End0.2
Second
24.32.2
15.717.9
Auto7.2
Teleop14.2
End2.9
red by 16.0
9421
#23
8.32.8
9.66.8
Auto4.1
Teleop2.0
End2.1
Third
696
#17
21.71.6
17.118.7
Auto7.1
Teleop14.0
End0.5
red by 14.2
4817
#33
7.42.8
10.67.8
Auto3.2
Teleop3.0
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
59%Melody oddsEarned16%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
11%Ensemble oddsMissed9%Ensemble oddsEarned