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Red40
11525.5
33287.1
528511.1
Blue32
85338.2
386312.1
16617.0
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3529102040504032

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
115
#3
25.50.1
17.016.9
Auto8.5
Teleop14.5
End2.6
red by 13.4
3863
#25
12.10.5
7.87.3
Auto5.5
Teleop5.2
End1.5
Second
5285
#43
11.10.1
7.17.0
Auto2.8
Teleop7.2
End1.0
red by 2.8
8533
#34
8.20.7
8.57.8
Auto2.0
Teleop5.9
End0.3
Third
3328
#28
7.10.1
6.76.6
Auto2.5
Teleop2.2
End2.4
red by 0.1
1661
#40
7.00.7
10.39.5
Auto3.2
Teleop3.3
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
9%Melody oddsMissed12%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
16%Ensemble oddsEarned8%Ensemble oddsEarned