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Red52
699520.3
513614.8
321614.1
Blue36
908429.6
58920.0
113816.6
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4146102030506070805236

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6995
#21
20.31.6
15.116.7
Auto4.7
Teleop14.1
End1.5
blue by 9.3
29.60.6
20.119.5
Auto11.8
Teleop14.2
End3.6
Second
5136
#13
14.81.6
11.413.0
Auto5.1
Teleop6.7
End3.1
blue by 5.2
589
#24
20.00.6
8.68.1
Auto6.3
Teleop10.9
End2.7
Third
3216
#45
14.11.6
11.012.6
Auto4.9
Teleop8.2
End1.0
blue by 2.5
1138
#30
16.60.6
12.311.7
Auto5.7
Teleop10.1
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
18%Melody oddsMissed19%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsMissed10%Ensemble oddsMissed