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Red31
583510.5
47113.9
80606.3
Blue44
374919.6
427614.0
401911.8
17%Model gave it83%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions273810203050603144

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5835
#41
10.51.1
8.97.8
Auto7.3
Teleop2.2
End1.0
blue by 9.1
19.60.1
13.213.1
Auto7.3
Teleop11.5
End0.8
Second
8060
#44
6.31.1
8.17.0
Auto2.1
Teleop3.0
End1.2
blue by 7.7
4276
#15
14.00.1
12.012.0
Auto3.4
Teleop9.0
End1.6
Third
4711
#36
3.91.1
8.87.7
Auto1.5
Teleop0.4
End1.9
blue by 7.9
4019
#27
11.80.1
7.57.5
Auto2.7
Teleop6.8
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
18%Melody oddsMissed20%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsMissed10%Ensemble oddsEarned