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Red45
800514.0
68728.1
374919.6
Blue29
69347.5
347625.1
50126.7
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions433601020305060704529

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
687
#9
28.10.8
13.314.1
Auto11.0
Teleop15.9
End1.2
red by 3.0
25.12.2
19.917.7
Auto11.0
Teleop11.8
End2.3
Second
19.60.8
13.113.9
Auto7.3
Teleop11.5
End0.8
red by 12.1
6934
#35
7.52.2
7.85.5
Auto3.2
Teleop3.6
End0.7
Third
8005
#18
14.00.8
11.512.3
Auto5.0
Teleop7.6
End1.3
red by 7.2
5012
#29
6.72.2
5.43.2
Auto2.0
Teleop3.5
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
19%Melody oddsEarned22%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
15%Ensemble oddsMissed14%Ensemble oddsEarned