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Red30
68856.9
392510.6
80606.3
Blue39
427614.0
67647.0
963513.8
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions26250102030405060703039

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3925
#10
10.60.0
9.99.9
Auto4.8
Teleop5.2
End0.5
blue by 3.4
4276
#15
14.01.0
12.013.0
Auto3.4
Teleop9.0
End1.6
Second
6885
#48
6.90.0
6.36.2
Auto2.6
Teleop3.2
End1.0
blue by 7.0
9635
#20
13.80.7
8.18.9
Auto4.9
Teleop8.2
End0.8
Third
8060
#44
6.30.0
7.07.0
Auto2.1
Teleop3.0
End1.2
blue by 0.7
6764
#26
7.00.7
2.83.5
Auto3.2
Teleop3.2
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
15%Melody oddsMissed6%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed8%Ensemble oddsMissed