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Red17
3999.2
606013.0
91723.9
Blue24
47113.9
397015.0
23754.9
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions323310204050601724

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6060
#37
13.01.5
10.79.2
Auto5.3
Teleop5.9
End1.8
blue by 1.9
3970
#12
15.01.6
14.012.5
Auto5.7
Teleop8.2
End1.1
Second
399
#46
9.21.5
11.29.7
Auto3.5
Teleop3.1
End2.6
red by 4.3
2375
#31
4.91.6
6.44.9
Auto3.4
Teleop0.1
End1.4
Third
9172
#47
3.91.5
8.87.3
Auto2.4
Teleop1.6
End-0.2
Level
4711
#36
3.91.6
7.76.1
Auto1.5
Teleop0.4
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
16%Melody oddsMissed17%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsMissed9%Ensemble oddsMissed