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Red70
441439.6
113816.6
50126.7
Blue60
581724.3
347625.1
473827.6
8%Model gave it92%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions466520304050607080901007060

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
39.61.9
29.131.0
Auto15.5
Teleop18.9
End5.2
red by 12.0
27.60.4
20.721.2
Auto9.7
Teleop14.8
End3.1
Second
1138
#30
16.62.9
11.714.6
Auto5.7
Teleop10.1
End0.8
blue by 8.5
25.10.4
17.718.1
Auto11.0
Teleop11.8
End2.3
Third
5012
#29
6.72.9
3.26.1
Auto2.0
Teleop3.5
End1.3
blue by 17.5
24.30.4
17.918.3
Auto7.2
Teleop14.2
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
29%Melody oddsEarned36%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
34%Ensemble oddsMissed27%Ensemble oddsMissed