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Red62
448139.7
58920.0
94218.3
Blue73
876812.1
11525.5
963513.8
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions464730405060706273

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
39.71.2
31.032.2
Auto16.5
Teleop20.8
End2.5
red by 14.2
115
#3
25.52.7
16.919.6
Auto8.5
Teleop14.5
End2.6
Second
589
#24
20.01.8
8.19.9
Auto6.3
Teleop10.9
End2.7
red by 6.2
9635
#20
13.81.8
8.910.7
Auto4.9
Teleop8.2
End0.8
Third
9421
#23
8.31.8
6.88.6
Auto4.1
Teleop2.0
End2.1
blue by 3.8
8768
#16
12.12.7
12.515.3
Auto4.2
Teleop5.9
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
49%Melody oddsEarned10%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
20%Ensemble oddsMissed10%Ensemble oddsMissed