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Red35
85338.2
908429.6
47113.9
Blue54
448139.7
401911.8
392510.6
17%Model gave it83%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3559020801003554

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
29.60.5
23.222.6
Auto11.8
Teleop14.2
End3.6
blue by 10.1
39.70.2
32.332.6
Auto16.5
Teleop20.8
End2.5
Second
8533
#34
8.20.5
7.56.9
Auto2.0
Teleop5.9
End0.3
blue by 3.5
4019
#27
11.80.4
9.49.8
Auto2.7
Teleop6.8
End2.2
Third
4711
#36
3.90.5
4.23.7
Auto1.5
Teleop0.4
End1.9
blue by 6.7
3925
#10
10.60.4
8.89.2
Auto4.8
Teleop5.2
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
15%Melody oddsMissed51%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
14%Ensemble oddsMissed21%Ensemble oddsMissed