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Red80
33287.1
94218.3
441439.6
Blue61
69347.5
80606.3
68728.1
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions572802040801001201408061

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
39.61.0
32.933.9
Auto15.5
Teleop18.9
End5.2
red by 11.5
687
#9
28.11.9
14.316.2
Auto11.0
Teleop15.9
End1.2
Second
9421
#23
8.31.6
8.39.9
Auto4.1
Teleop2.0
End2.1
red by 0.7
6934
#35
7.51.9
8.410.3
Auto3.2
Teleop3.6
End0.7
Third
3328
#28
7.11.0
7.38.2
Auto2.5
Teleop2.2
End2.4
red by 0.8
8060
#44
6.31.9
6.07.9
Auto2.1
Teleop3.0
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
22%Melody oddsEarned19%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
43%Ensemble oddsEarned9%Ensemble oddsMissed