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Red42
528511.1
69621.7
3999.2
Blue54
963513.8
732710.6
58920.0
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3932102050604254

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
696
#17
21.70.5
17.818.3
Auto7.1
Teleop14.0
End0.5
red by 1.7
589
#24
20.01.5
9.911.4
Auto6.3
Teleop10.9
End2.7
Second
5285
#43
11.10.9
7.68.4
Auto2.8
Teleop7.2
End1.0
blue by 2.8
9635
#20
13.80.9
11.312.2
Auto4.9
Teleop8.2
End0.8
Third
399
#46
9.20.9
8.99.7
Auto3.5
Teleop3.1
End2.6
blue by 1.4
7327
#38
10.61.5
8.910.4
Auto5.1
Teleop4.6
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
20%Melody oddsMissed15%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
12%Ensemble oddsMissed7%Ensemble oddsMissed