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Red49
386312.1
473827.6
583510.5
Blue82
85338.2
448139.7
397015.0
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions455802040801004982

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27.60.7
21.822.5
Auto9.7
Teleop14.8
End3.1
blue by 12.1
39.71.7
32.634.3
Auto16.5
Teleop20.8
End2.5
Second
3863
#25
12.10.4
11.411.9
Auto5.5
Teleop5.2
End1.5
blue by 2.8
3970
#12
15.02.9
11.814.7
Auto5.7
Teleop8.2
End1.1
Third
5835
#41
10.50.7
9.410.1
Auto7.3
Teleop2.2
End1.0
red by 2.2
8533
#34
8.22.9
6.99.8
Auto2.0
Teleop5.9
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
30%Melody oddsMissed52%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsMissed14%Ensemble oddsMissed