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Red28
581724.3
16617.0
50126.7
Blue6
67647.0
91723.9
80606.3
88%Model gave it12%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions41150206080286

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
24.31.2
18.617.4
Auto7.2
Teleop14.2
End2.9
red by 17.3
6764
#26
7.00.7
3.42.8
Auto3.2
Teleop3.2
End0.7
Second
1661
#40
7.01.2
8.77.4
Auto3.2
Teleop3.3
End0.5
red by 0.7
8060
#44
6.31.2
7.96.8
Auto2.1
Teleop3.0
End1.2
Third
5012
#29
6.71.2
6.75.5
Auto2.0
Teleop3.5
End1.3
red by 2.9
9172
#47
3.91.2
5.03.9
Auto2.4
Teleop1.6
End-0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
19%Melody oddsMissed9%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
15%Ensemble oddsMissed5%Ensemble oddsMissed