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Red44
58920.0
69347.5
528511.1
Blue83
138823.6
68728.1
392510.6
13%Model gave it87%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions31500204060804483

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
589
#24
20.00.4
11.411.8
Auto6.3
Teleop10.9
End2.7
blue by 8.1
687
#9
28.12.2
16.218.4
Auto11.0
Teleop15.9
End1.2
Second
5285
#43
11.10.4
8.48.9
Auto2.8
Teleop7.2
End1.0
blue by 12.5
1388
#11
23.62.2
17.419.7
Auto7.3
Teleop15.8
End0.5
Third
6934
#35
7.50.4
10.310.7
Auto3.2
Teleop3.6
End0.7
blue by 3.1
3925
#10
10.62.2
9.211.4
Auto4.8
Teleop5.2
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
15%Melody oddsMissed33%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
17%Ensemble oddsEarned8%Ensemble oddsEarned