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Red71
732311.6
401413.0
68728.1
Blue30
85214.9
3999.2
85338.2
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions36270102040506070807130

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
687
#9
28.13.8
18.422.3
Auto11.0
Teleop15.9
End1.2
red by 18.9
399
#46
9.20.6
9.89.2
Auto3.5
Teleop3.1
End2.6
Second
4014
#19
13.03.8
5.99.7
Auto3.9
Teleop7.1
End2.0
red by 4.7
8533
#34
8.20.6
9.89.2
Auto2.0
Teleop5.9
End0.3
Third
7323
#22
11.63.8
7.110.9
Auto4.3
Teleop5.7
End1.6
red by 6.7
8521
#39
4.90.6
5.95.3
Auto1.3
Teleop2.4
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
21%Melody oddsEarned13%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
15%Ensemble oddsMissed9%Ensemble oddsEarned