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Red23
23754.9
392510.6
386312.1
Blue11
50126.7
33287.1
732710.6
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3029102040502311

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3863
#25
12.10.2
11.911.6
Auto5.5
Teleop5.2
End1.5
red by 1.6
7327
#38
10.61.8
11.49.6
Auto5.1
Teleop4.6
End0.8
Second
3925
#10
10.60.4
11.411.0
Auto4.8
Teleop5.2
End0.5
red by 3.5
3328
#28
7.11.1
10.09.0
Auto2.5
Teleop2.2
End2.4
Third
2375
#31
4.90.4
3.12.8
Auto3.4
Teleop0.1
End1.4
blue by 1.8
5012
#29
6.71.8
5.53.7
Auto2.0
Teleop3.5
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
16%Melody oddsMissed10%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
20%Ensemble oddsMissed22%Ensemble oddsMissed