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Red59
11525.5
699520.3
48177.4
Blue17
38818.6
47113.9
69347.5
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5622040801005917

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
115
#3
25.51.3
22.724.0
Auto8.5
Teleop14.5
End2.6
red by 16.9
3881
#32
8.60.8
8.47.7
Auto2.4
Teleop6.0
End0.2
Second
6995
#21
20.31.3
16.117.4
Auto4.7
Teleop14.1
End1.5
red by 12.8
6934
#35
7.50.8
10.710.0
Auto3.2
Teleop3.6
End0.7
Third
4817
#33
7.41.3
8.29.5
Auto3.2
Teleop3.0
End1.2
red by 3.6
4711
#36
3.90.8
4.84.1
Auto1.5
Teleop0.4
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
22%Melody oddsEarned12%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
14%Ensemble oddsMissed29%Ensemble oddsMissed