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Red58
347625.1
94218.3
397015.0
Blue39
321614.1
528511.1
401911.8
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5236204060805839

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25.10.3
23.323.6
Auto11.0
Teleop11.8
End2.3
red by 11.0
3216
#45
14.10.5
14.515.0
Auto4.9
Teleop8.2
End1.0
Second
3970
#12
15.00.3
14.715.0
Auto5.7
Teleop8.2
End1.1
red by 3.2
4019
#27
11.80.5
11.011.5
Auto2.7
Teleop6.8
End2.2
Third
9421
#23
8.30.3
7.17.5
Auto4.1
Teleop2.0
End2.1
blue by 2.8
5285
#43
11.10.5
8.99.4
Auto2.8
Teleop7.2
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
41%Melody oddsMissed14%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
16%Ensemble oddsMissed27%Ensemble oddsMissed