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Red103
963513.8
581724.3
800514.0
Blue43
876812.1
583510.5
513614.8
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4445203040506070809010343

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
24.32.0
17.419.4
Auto7.2
Teleop14.2
End2.9
red by 9.4
5136
#13
14.81.1
16.915.8
Auto5.1
Teleop6.7
End3.1
Second
8005
#18
14.02.0
10.212.2
Auto5.0
Teleop7.6
End1.3
red by 1.9
8768
#16
12.11.1
13.712.6
Auto4.2
Teleop5.9
End2.0
Third
9635
#20
13.81.2
12.313.5
Auto4.9
Teleop8.2
End0.8
red by 3.4
5835
#41
10.51.1
10.19.0
Auto7.3
Teleop2.2
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
16%Melody oddsEarned11%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
6%Ensemble oddsMissed7%Ensemble oddsEarned